Tuesday, February 28, 2017

VOX POPULI

by

S Kamat
as
Aam Admi

Issue: 190         Date:  27.02.2017

 
Contents:
1.       India’s Debacle Against Spin Bowling
2.       The Sad Story of BJP's Sojourn In Governance
3.       Maximum Government, Minimum Governance

India’s Debacle Against Spin Bowling

One cannot claim to be prescient considering writing that we should moderate the praise on Virat Kohli just last week, since after that India led by him went down in the Pune Test against Australia by 333 runs and that too within 3 days. The amusing part of this defeat was that the Pune track was prepared for Indian spinners and which Steve Smith had roundly criticized even before the match started stating that it was an under-prepared pitch. Where the Australians in both innings set up respectable scores above 250 runs, India succumbed in both innings to the Aussie spin twins of Nathan Lyon & O’Keefe for just about a 100 runs. What a fall there was, my countrymen! The inability to handle spin is rather strange for Indian batsmen since we are apart from having the best spinners in the game were reputed also to have batsmen who play spin the best. This premise has actually been shattered by the scoreline of the Pune Test which also takes you back to the 60’s when the Aussies would visit India with their pace attack of Alan Davidson, Graham McKenzie and Ian Meckiff which would run through the Indian top order like a hot knife through butter with the famed leg-spinner Richie Benaud would not be able to do much. But now the situation is the reverse with Indian batsmen able to stand up to the pace of the Aussie fast bowlers maybe because of the protective gear that they wear these days but completely at sea to the Aussie spinners. It is not only with Aussie spinners. But lately any spinner who comes to India be it Joe Root from England or the rookie spinner that South Africa had prior to Tahrir, our batsmen tie themselves up in knots while playing them. Not only does India do badly against them but they go back with their reputations greatly enhanced having bearded the Indian lion in its own den. This is a complete contrast to the past and logically should not have happened considering that we still have the best spinners in the world with Ashwin, Jadeja and Mishra. A time to introspect therefore for the Indian cricketing community to assess whether it is a matter of technique or temperament considering that most of the players particularly batsmen in the Test team also play in the ODI’s and the T20’s where rash shots are part of the game since as long as you get runs and do not get out, it is par for the game.


The Sad Story of BJP's Sojourn In Governance

The BJP in 2014 came to power with great expectations of providing a governance that was different from the Congress regime which more or less had a stranglehold on power since Independence. But its performance in close to 3 years now has been fraught with indecisiveness, an inability of tackling the economy and putting it on the path of high growth, a tendency to get caught up in infructious debate on social issues, controversies in education and not being able to combat the disenchantment in youth and to provide them jobs.
The BJP sooner it started in government opened its innings on the secularism issue and for lack of a desire or inability to look at the other picture was branded logically as 'intolerant'. The debate and controversies on this matter that captured the public mind for months was without substance on the part of the incumbent government and a broader mind would have doused the issues that arose quickly since they were no longer relevant and were giving a bad public image. Linked to this was the beef eating issue where again it was important to recognise that diet is a matter of personal choice and has nothing to do with religion unless you deliberately intend to put those labels. Many died because of the intolerance towards this meat eating practice since the BJP leadership failed to lay down the line and their lower echelons presumed silence meant approval of their activities to harass and terrorise beef eaters.
After that universities were converted to hotbeds of activism with one must say deliberate provocation by the then Education Minister whose educational qualifications were itself in doubt. Centres of learning like IIT's, major universities and IIM's were meddled with in terms of their policies and management board appointments resulting in a saffronisation of these institutions. With the lack of ability at the top, these institutions tended to lose their reputation and allowed small issues to assume dramatic and mammoth proportions. The educational campuses around the country are in ferment currently with the ABVP jockeying for dominant positions which is normal in a student environment. India has seen much worse during the Naxalite movement and later the Mandal agitation. But the difference this time has been that the faculty and the administration has been taking sides which is making the situation more complex and difficult to tackle and resolve. What is more disappointing is that senior BJP leaders are spreading the canard that terror is starting from the universities. In the present campus disturbances at Delhi, the Finance Minister, I&B Minister and the Minister of State for Home have been making public statements trying to cow down the other students unions apart from the ABVP which is sad since the principle to be followed here should have been students will be students and not give too much political weight to these matters. 
Crimes against women continue to dot the country similar in heinousness and depravity to the Nirbhaya case in Delhi. The ball in this case continues to be thrown between the Centre and the States considering that law and order is a State subject. But in the meanwhile the rape statistics of the country keeps escalating with the victims ranging from 6 months to 70 years and the offenders from 12 years to 70 years. We cannot continue to blame the image of women in India which depicts them as completely dependent on men and therefore they are considered as objects for the satisfaction of men. There should have been concerted efforts to change the mindset of men, to stop the objectification of our women in cinema and TV, provide facilities to assist women in danger and to dramatically speeden and enhance the punishment of rapists. Nothing like this is being done and even the Nirbhaya fund set up is seen to have spent practically no money allotted to it.
Consider foreign policy now where today we must be having the worst relations with our neighbours in the past 50 years or more. Forget Pakistan and China with whom our relations have always been antagonistic, we have not been able to maintain relations with Nepal, a country that has more reasons to be indebted to us than any  other. After the blockade for which the Nepalese government blamed India relations with that country have plummeted to lows not seen earlier. It is not all India's fault but then an effort could have been made to be more equable in the relationship. What has happened as a consequence is that China has taken advantage of the situation and come in posing as a saviour of Nepal. China on its march to reach the blue seas and thereby seek to control the Indian Ocean has made inroads into Bangladesh  and Sri Lanka at the cost of India. Arming Pakistan and developing the port in the Indian Ocean there along with ports in Maldives and Bangladesh, the Chinese strategy rather than the string of pearls that it is promoting its ports in these seas is nothing but to encircle India. Instead of combating this devious strategy of China we continue to play tweedledee-tweedledum with them and be obsessed with border demarcations and the dams that country is building on the upper reaches of the river Brahmaputra. The day the carpet is pulled out from under India will we realise that we have been nicely had by China. With the rest of the world we claim relations are on a high like the US, UK and Europe. With Donald Trump becoming President his stand on India needs to be carefully assessed since maybe he himself does not know where he stands on the issue. With his comments on America for Americans and insistence that American jobs should go to American people it may be that the day is not far off when more than 300,000 Indians in the US may be heading for home. If that happens it may help us to become the No.1 software power in the world! Relations with the U.K. are on a similar basis like that with the US since with Brexit when they themselves do not know what will happen to their country, what kind of relations can they assure us? Europe has always not been great with India except when there is a need to buttress their trade which is a tenet that they strictly follow. Dealing thus with their own problems within the EC they may not have much time for India. The position on Russia is no different since with internal change dominating the country it will keep relations with India on an even keel maintaining them for the sake of tradition but nothing more. Other than nation to nation relations the other thing that is bugging India in the arena of foreign relations is the admission to the NSG. This will not happen unless India agrees to sign the NPT. There is no logic for the NSG member countries to give membership to India on the promise of using nuclear energy for peaceful purposes and quoting its track record in that area. For the NSG countries this does not hold water since knowing the fact that India possesses the nuclear bomb, there is no guarantee that a new government may not authorise its use. Promises on these matters do not help. Therefore harping on NSG membership without signing the NPT is a big no-no for the NSG members led by China. Further one has to note that the basis of seeking NSG membership being to move ahead with the civil nuclear program to generate electricity, we have to recognise that the US which has been wanting to sell the new nuclear reactors to India be it of GE or Westinghouse or in tie-up with Toshiba are themselves not wanting to install the same reactors in their own country for fear of safety issues and the public opposition after the accidents at Three Mile Island and other locations in the US. If we buy these reactors we will again be made the guinea pigs of the experiments of the developed world. Thus you see the foreign policy arena for India is like a minefield fraught with many dangers which Sushma Swaraj as Foreign Minister, if she was fully fit, would have been able to handle but with her ailing now, it will lead to many gaps in our relations with countries around the world. She can also do without the theatrics of Narendra Modi in foreign relations and which country he can drop in to have tea with its Prime Minister, he should check with her first and not create the embarrassment we have had with Pakistan where relations have been put back by a decade because of the antics of Narendra Modi. 
The problem with the BJP in summary has been that it suffers from a lack of depth of leaders who have the capability and also command a public reputation and presence. We have seen this in the appointment of ministers where there are many in the present Council of Ministers who are not competent to hold their positions. Narendra Modi realised this when he made changes in a cabinet reshuffle in the recent past. After the upcoming election results in the Ides of March it is expected that there would be another juggling of the cabinet depending on the results to either consolidate the gains or winnow some of the deadwood in the Cabinet.

In terms of posturing for three years now the BJP continues to be in election mode with the emphasis being to win over most of the States which would get them a more equitable position in the Rajya Sabha where presently they are not able to pass any Bill because they do not have the strength of MP's which is currently held by the Opposition. Thus any bill that the BJP wants to pass flounders in the Rajya Sabha and thus cannot become law. That is the reason why the BJP prefers the Ordinance route for most legislation including the famous demonetisation exercise. In contrast Barrack Obama for the majority of his two terms as President did not have the control of both Senate and the House of Representatives and whether it was his Healthcare bill or any other it would get serious opposition and in fact most of the Bills would not get passed into law. In spite of that when it was time for Obama to step down he was considered one of the best presidents that the US had ever had considering the achievements during his two terms. In a similar vein Narendra Modi or the BJP throughout these three years or so have not seriously reached out to the Opposition and tried to work with them to pass legislation. Most of the time has been spent in bickering and stupid name-calling which one must admit is not restricted to the BJP alone but to almost all parties which has brought down the name of Indian Parliament and its proceedings have degenerated to the noise that one sees in the fish market or to elevate them a bit to the share markets of yore. Sometimes one thinks that the BJP has missed the point that they have a responsibility to govern the country and not play point-counterpoint games with the Opposition parties mostly the Congress who happen to have some 40 odd MP's only in the Lok Sabha! 

In conclusion it is sad to say that for the BJP to rule the country in a satisfactory manner it will take another decade or more during which time it has to seriously concentrate in developing a cadre of capable leaders who command respect and not have to throw their weight around to get themselves to be heard. 

Maximum Government, Minimum Governance

When Narendra Modi came to power in 2014 on the back of a resounding majority for the BJP in Parliament he had promised minimum government and maximum governance. But if you look at the situation since that time and particularly after 8th Nov 2016 you will find quite the opposite. We will deal with the situation that has arisen post-demonetisation. 
First the government defacto took over the RBI, an autonomous institution, after withdrawing 87% of the currency notes in circulation of the Rs 500 & 1000 denomination on 8th Nov 2016 and ran it until the middle of Dec 2016 when finally the Governor, Urjit Patel found his voice to reiterate that RBI was still functioning and whole. Subsequently the RBI made a record of sorts by issuing 56 circulars in 50 days. This was construed as bad management but then the RBI and government response to that accusation was that such micro-management was required to show that they were 'sensitive' to people's needs. However, the confusion such sensitivity caused the common citizens has been experienced by one and all and needs no elaboration.

Clarity in monetary policy is important for both individuals as well as business entities. Changing regulations and the paucity of cash resulted in an indirect control of the spending of both individuals which clearly was an encroachment on the fundamental rights of citizens as enshrined in the Constitution and for business entities, some of which have had to close down unable to handle the lack of cash to pay workers and suppliers. 

Compounding this was the puzzling position that the Income Tax Dept. was taking from time to time. In the initial days after 8th Nov 2016 the common knowledge with people was that if you deposited Rs. 50,000 or more into your bank account then the eyes of the IT Dept. would be upon you. This was consistent with the earlier rule that beyond this limit you needed to declare your PAN No. As days went by it was said that if you deposit more than Rs. 2 Lakhs not your account then the IT guys would be behind your back. In a few weeks thereafter the limit was changed to Rs. 2.5 Lakhs. It was also not clarified whether only those depositing such amounts at one time would attract the IT attention or was this figure the aggregate amount of deposits over the period 10th Nov - 31st Dec 2016 by any entity.
Here again the lack of clarity led to the creation of uncertainty and the sowing of the fear bogie among common citizens. 
Parallely you had ads in the newspapers and over the radio and TV that you need to declare your unaccounted income under one scheme or another to avoid further penalties and possible imprisonment. In the interim we had ads also asking people to tell on their neighbours who they believed were not paying IT which even Narendra Modi exhorted people to do in his speeches. It was also being hunted that it was patriotic to tell tales against others. This was clearly putting people against each other and the tendency of looking suspiciously at or avoiding your friend or neighbour if you were spotted making a hi-value purchase became common. There had been such a scheme earlier with the IT Dept. But the difference now was that it was being given wide publicity and you were being told if was your 'national duty'. THe government was engendering the feeling of mistrust among people where it should have been promoting unity in diversity.
Then sooner the New Year had dawned we were told that the IT Dept. was sending email and SMS notices to some 18 Lakh entities and people were encouraged to respond to these notices otherwise........... Here again there was a confusion whether the notices were being sent to those depositing Rs. 2 Lakhs or Rs. 2.5 Lakhs, though finally the IT Dept. seems to have settled down to the latter figure. To maybe show the great efficacy with which the IT Dept. was functioning newspaper headlines announced that actually 1 crore entities were under the IT scanner as if 18 Lakhs had not whetted their appetite. Thus a scare syndrome was being generated. But at the same time from election pulpits Narendra Modi roared that honest people had nothing to worry. So was the PM hinting that there were a clear 1 crore dishonest people apart from the Vijay Mallyas and all those responsible for the lakhs of crores of NPA's at our banks. If honest people were not to worry, why were 75 year old people who were not liable to pay income tax for the last 10 years getting notices? Why were IT notices being slapped on elderly women vegetable vendors in Panjim market? You can only imagine the trauma and distress on the part of senior citizens and illiterate women to explain to the IT Dept. that they had done nothing wrong. Was the data mining bot with the IT guys running completely haywire?
Arun Jaitley had avowed that the government wants to expand the tax payers base which in India is abysmally low compared to developed countries. In one of his comments he had cited the example of how the number of cars sold in 2015 in the country were higher than the number of taxpayers. Such comments lack maturity since cars are available in installment payments and the income of a family unit to which a car still belongs may have multiple wage earners out of which just one of two may be liable for tax while they may own two or more cars. Other than that as cited earlier if the IT Dept. Is going after the 1 crore entities, has it verified how many of these are already in the tax net and harassing them unduly may have the contra effect of them jumping to the other side of the fence. Thus should not the data mining bot have been fine tuned to sort out those depositors from the 1 crore entities who are not in the tax net and go after them in the initial instance if the intention was to widen the tax payer base. It is anticipated that the task before the IT Dept. being monumental this whole exercise will end up being counter productive and will rub people the wrong way. Expanding the tax base should have been done diligently, systematically and over a period of time rather than as an offshoot of the large deposits come in post-demonetisation. 
This apart there is licence and inspector raj everywhere around you be it in business, centres of learning  and every sphere of social activity. The latest being curbs on spending at weddings as proposed which is wrong.  Since who is the government to tell the people how much they should spend on their children's  wedding? Is it not the prerogative of the parents to do that? Everyone according to their means and spending ability should be the principle.

Thus nowadays if you speak or raise a voice in protest against any government policy or measure, you will first find the IT behind you and then it will be the ED or FEMA as appropriate to silence you. This what the country has come to - Maximum Government, Minimum Governance. 

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